Fantasy Football Notable Numbers: Week 1, 2010

You shouldn't rely solely on stats, but just like an MBA analyzing a business or a stock, you should include statistical analysis as part of your fantasy football decision-making regimen.

Herewith are some interesting stats to from Week 1 of the 2010 fantasy football season:

  • 57.  Number of attempts by Payton Manning.  This game was a shootout, so don't expect this too often, but with the Colts' O-line troubles and weak running game, 40 or so a game may not be out of the realm of possibility.
  • 103.  Yards rushing for Michael Vick, who may be taking over for Kevin Kolb not only during Kolb's concussion recovery, but permanently.  Kolb's looked unsteady in the pocket during preseason and in game one; Philly's O-line issues certainly don't help.  If Vick remains the starter, he could be putting up a lot of yards on the ground while scrambling out of trouble.
  • 89.8.  Kyle Orton's QB rating after Week 1.  He'll likely be a decent spot-starter or QB platoon member all season.
Running Backs
  • 231, 3, 7.0.  Yards gained, TDs, and yards per carry by Arian Foster of the Houston Texans.  In his last two games of 2009, Foster went for 97 yards, 1 TD, and 5.1 YPC against Miami and for 119/2/6.0 vs. N.E.  He's probably going to earn some defensive adjustments by upcoming opponents.
  • 50 & 151.  Yards gained by Matt Forte of the Chicago Bears on the ground vs. through the air.  Forte will be an excellent start in PPR leagues this season.
  • 20 to 12.  Number of carries the NY Giants gave to Ahmad Bradshaw vs. Brandon Jacobs.
Wide Receivers
  • 3.  Number of TDs scored by the Giants' Hakeem Nicks.  On just 4 receptions! This is half his 2009 TD total.  The number of receptions is right around his average; his highest number of receptions in 2009 was 6. He was targeted 8 times.
  • 16.  Number of targets for the St. Louis Rams' Mark Clayton.  Always a tease in Baltimore, Clayton is just about all the Rams have outside of Danny Amendola and possibly Laurent Robinson.  Expect Clayton to continue to lead the Rams in targets unless the opposition starts to blanket him.
  • 11/163.  Number of receptions and yards for Austin Collie of the Colts.  Remember, Collie had a couple of big games last year, too.  However, Payton Manning has many options in Indy (TE Dallas Clark, WRs Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon, and his RBs out of the backfield) and, moreover, Manning rolls with what defenses give, so don't necessarily expect Collie to to this every week, unless proven otherwise.

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